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| Undervalued Stocks | |||||
	
 
        Introduction to Stocks and Undervalued Stocks  
	
  By definition, a stock or equity means a stake in the ownership of a 
        company. Equity is a means to raise capital for the corporate bodies. 
        Equity holders of a company are the actual owners and can have say in 
        the  Firm's operations through voting rights in the general body meeting. 
        Though equity holders are actual owners of the net profits earned by a 
        company for a year, the entire profit is not distributed among the owners, 
        as some of it is retained back by the company management for capital investment 
        required for the growth of the company and hence scope for increase in 
        the wealth of the share holders. Remaining portion of the profit is paid 
        amongst the investors as dividends.  Once a company lists a portion of 
        its total equity-base in stock exchanges, common public can also participate 
        in buying and selling of its stocks and be eligible for dividends. But 
        more than dividends, what attracts the investors to stock investments 
        is the expectation of capital appreciation. The capital appreciation in 
        the stock price enables investors to sell off their stocks in the market 
        at a much higher price than what they bought them for, thereby making 
        profits.  
	But not always, and not all stocks appreciate in price and so are the case that not all investors get to reap a positive return of capital appreciation of stocks. Because of this risky nature of stock investment, Investors need to have the foresight and prudence to select stocks that are more likely to appreciate in price V though the horizon may range between long and short terms.
  So, how does one know which stocks are likely to go up in value Or, 
        putting in differently, how investor knows which stocks are undervalued 
        and which stocks are over valued so that he/she may chose the undervalued 
        stocks to invest in. Let us look at some of the primary features / trends 
        of undervalued stocks.  
	
  1. Undervalued stocks have a low price/earning multiple.  
	2.	The price of undervalued stock is influenced by a few short- term factors.
 
	3.	Due to point 2 above, there is uncertainty regarding the near term results
 
	4.	One or more fundamental values of the stock / company which is/are going through a low is/ are likely to improve.
 
	5.	The company fundamentals are as sound as similar stocks with higher P/E multiple.
 
	
  Undervalued stocks are also known 
        as a challenge stock - stocks that can help in building a portfolio of 
        stocks or  improve a portfolios projected average return due to the very natures 
        described above.  
	
 
	With this background, now let us look at the importance of P/E multiple in determining how undervalued or over-valued a stock is.
 
	
 
	P/E Multiple
 
	
  The P/E ratio is given by the below formulae,  
	
 
	P/E = Price per share / Earnings per share
 
	
 
	In the above formulae, the price per share is the market price of a single share determined by the forces of demand and supply at a given time, and the earning per share (EPS) is the net income of a company for the last  financial year, divided by the number of outstanding shares. The EPS is the proportion of the net income (profit after tax) of the company that each investor earns during a given time period.
 
	
  The P/E ratio gives the relationship between the market price of the 
        stock and its earnings by revealing how earnings affect the market price 
        of the firm's stock. If a stock has a low P/E multiple, for example 4/1, 
        it may be considered as an undervalued stock. If the ratio is 30/1, it 
        may be viewed as overvalued. The P/E ratio is a popular financial ratio 
        and proves to be useful as long as the firm is a viable business entity 
        and its real value is reflected in its profits. This ratio can be used 
        to compare one stock with another based on the value of the multiple, 
        but care should be taken to ensure that both the stocks are comparable 
        stocks, having similarity in time periods, industries and countries. This 
        comparison principle for undervalued/ overvalued concept is very critical, 
        since P/E ratio in isolation will not convey the full picture of current 
        valuation of the stock. A comparison with similar stock can give a better 
        picture assuming / considering that the comparable stock is properly valued. 
        Whatever be the case, the fact remains that if P/E of two comparable stocks 
        has large difference, one of the stocks will be under or over valued. 
       
	
  Going ahead from the above discussion, now let us have a discussion 
        as what an investor should look into to spot a truly undervalued stock. 
       
	
 
	
  Characteristics of Undervalued stocks  
	
  An undervalued stock is characterized by the presence of a 
        low P/E multiple. But a low P/E ratio alone cannot give an investor idea 
        about the real value of a stock. Investors need to have the foresight 
        and prudence to study the fundamentals of the company they are going to 
        invest in ,and thereby come up with an E(P/E) multiple. This is the P/E 
        multiple investors expect to have based on the cash flows that the firm 
        is likely to generate in the future years to be discounted at an appropriate 
        rate.  
	
 
	To establish an appropriate price-earnings ratio for a given share, the following factors related to the firm need to be looked into-
 
	Growth rate
 
	Stability of earnings
 
	Size of the company
 
	Quality of management
 
	Dividend pay out ratio
 
	
  The cash flows of a company is determined by all the factors mentioned 
        above. However, for a common investor it may be beyond his skills and 
        expertise to analyse cash flows and determine an earnings scenario for 
        a company. Never the less, it will always be wise for the investor to 
        even intuitively analyse the above mentioned factors to understand the 
        financial health of the company and have better picture of P/E ratio. 
       
	
 
	To continue with the E(P/E) discussion, if a firm has a high growth rate with stable earnings, it would surely mean a higher P/E multiple since the net income divided by outstanding shares give us the earning per share. The demand and supply interaction will push up the current price of the share. The higher the size of the company and the dividend pay out ratio, the higher will be the P/E multiple.
 
	
  After arriving at an E(P/E) multiple based on the fundamentals of the 
        company, investors need to observe the stocks current P/E by checking 
        price and earnings data in websites, newspapers and financial periodicals. 
       
	
 
	If the E(P/E) exceeds the actual P/E substantially, and also similar stocks with healthy future outlook has higher P/E, the stock is currently under priced and its the right time to buy the share. But if the E(P/E) is much less than the actual P/E, and so is the case of P/E of similar healthy shares, the stock is currently overpriced and it may be the best time that you sell it and count the profits, and invest in some of the other shares from the same sector which are undervalued .
 
 
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